The Alaska Department of Fish and Game (ADF&G) is forecasting a total Bristol Bay sockeye salmon harvest of 38 million fish, a nearly 38 percent drop from this year's record catch of 60.1 million sockeye.

ADF&G forecasts a total run of 51 million fish in the bay, which is in line with an earlier forecast obtained by IntraFish from sources with knowledge of the fishery.

This is 10 percent smaller than the most recent 10-year average of Bristol Bay total runs at 57.24